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What to watch for in the Iowa caucuses
  + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
CNN —Iowa Republicans who are willing to brave record-low temperatures are set to kick off the party’s 2024 presidential nominating process with Monday night’s caucuses. Now, Iowa voters will render the first verdict of the 2024 election, weighing in on which Republican should take on President Joe Biden in November. Here are five things to watch in the Iowa caucuses:Will Trump top 50%? The Iowa caucuses have a history of paring down both parties’ fields of presidential contenders. Iowa will once again test whether any other Republican can break Trump’s hold on those voters, who have historically been a crucial bloc in the caucuses.
Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Joe Biden, Will, Trump, Haley, DeSantis, who’s, who’d, It’s, ” DeSantis, ‘ Darling, ” Trump, he’s, , ” Haley, “ Donald Trump’s, Nikki Haley’s, , she’s “, CNN’s Dana Bash, , Michele Bachmann, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee —, Kentucky Sen, Rand Paul, Kim Reynolds, Vivek Ramaswamy, Asa Hutchinson, Ramaswamy, Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Bob Vander Plaats, Koch, Huckabee, Santorum, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, what’s, “ He’s, they’re, ” “ That’s, I’m Organizations: CNN, Iowa Republicans, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Republican, Will Trump, GOP, Des Moines Register, NBC, Trump, United Nations, Minnesota, Iowa, Arkansas Gov, Kentucky, South Carolina —, Prosperity, Texas, Democratic, New Hampshire —, Praetorian Guard, Fox News Locations: Florida, Iowa, Dubuque, , Indianola, New Hampshire, South Carolina, DeSantis, Des, “ Iowa, Haley , Iowa, Pennsylvania, Waukee, , Iowa
The Iowa caucuses might have continued to be a nothingburger if New York Times correspondent RW “Johnny” Apple hadn’t pulled a journalistic PT Barnum act by coming to Iowa in the 1970s and making it a show. But if the Iowa caucuses ever meant anything, they mean less now. After all, Ted Cruz won the Iowa Republican caucuses in 2016, the year Donald Trump won the election; former Arkansas Gov. He mocked Iowa Gov. Trump did show up to the Iowa State Fair, but he pointedly avoided “fair-side” conversations hosted by Iowa’s governor.
Persons: Lyz Lenz, Johnny ” Apple hadn’t, Apple, salivating, Jimmy Carter, , I’ve, Pete Buttigieg, Ron DeSantis, John Hickenlooper, feverishly, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, outpace, Mitt Romney, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Ted Cruz, Donald Trump, Mike Huckabee, Arizona Sen, John McCain, Buttigieg, Joe Biden, Trump, He’s, Kim Reynolds, DeSantis, Bob Vander Plaats, Iowa, they’ll, he’s, Reynolds, Haley, Organizations: CNN, Republican, New York Times, Democratic Party, Apple, Georgia Gov, Florida Gov, Republicans, Massachusetts Gov, Democratic, Iowa Republican, Arkansas Gov, Trump, Iowa Gov, Family Leadership, Fair, Iowa’s, Capitol, Twitter, Facebook Locations: Iowa, Lyz Lenz Pilsen, Georgia, South Bend , Indiana, Sioux City, Florida, Dallas, Colorado, Cedar Rapids, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, New York City, America, Arkansas, Arizona, New Hampshire
But on the eve of the caucuses, DeSantis is on the brink in a state where he’s banked his entire campaign. Big donors soon discovered that the Florida governor could be a flat and uninspiring candidate. It was a cringeworthy moment that could become a pitiful emblem of busted hopes if the Florida governor doesn’t mount a comeback on Monday. “If the number that we have is anywhere close to reality, he’s going to have a very, very good night,” Vander Plaats said. An Iowa defeat for DeSantis would be especially bitter, because after months on the trail, he’s a far more polished candidate.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Trump, , ” DeSantis, he’s, – Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Scott Walker, Haley, , Jake Tapper, It’s, Trump’s, Anthony Fauci, invigorated, weaponizing, she’s, DeSantis remorselessly, Ron, doesn’t, Mike Huckabee, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Bob Vander Plaats, ” Vander Plaats, He’s, “ Donald Trump, Steve Deace, “ Ron DeSantis, ” Deace, postmortems, “ He’s, That’s, I’m, Fox, Bob Rommel Organizations: Des Moines , Iowa CNN, Florida Gov, Republican, GOP, Republicans, Des Moines Register, NBC, South Carolina Gov, PAC, Wisconsin Gov, South, Trump, Iowa, Walt Disney Company, Yale, Harvard, Elon, Twitter, CNN, West, Arkansas Gov, Texas, Fox News, Fox Locations: Des Moines , Iowa, Florida, Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, “ State, Texas, West Des Moines, Pennsylvania, Urbandale , Iowa, Naples
ROCK RAPIDS, Iowa (AP) — Some of the most contested real estate for Iowa's Republican caucuses is a vast, wind-swept plain where hogs outnumber people by the millions. Ron DeSantis have invested in appealing to politically influential evangelicals, making the fight for northwest Iowa a microcosm of the race to win Monday's caucuses. DeSantis has spent long hours courting voters here, stopping Thursday in Rock Rapids, population 2,600, before heading to Le Mars, about four times larger. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, with his social conservative brand, competed strongly for northwest Iowa in 2016 and edged Trump in the region on his way to a narrow caucus victory. Ambassador Nikki Haley, aiming for a surprise second-place finish in Iowa, has campaigned in northwest Iowa, but less often and to smaller audiences.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, that's, he’s, , John Vermeer, , ” Vermeer, Trump, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee’s, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Randy Vande Berg, Roe, Wade, He's, Vande Berg, Republican underperformance, “ It's, There's, Heidi Kock Organizations: ROCK, Republican, telltale, Florida Gov, Trump, Reformed Church, Texas, Arkansas Gov, Sioux Center, U.N, Biotech, U.S, Supreme Locations: ROCK RAPIDS, Iowa, Rock Rapids, Le, Netherlands, Florida, Pennsylvania, Iowa's, Sioux, Sioux County, Monday's
Iowa caucuses: Do they still matter?
  + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( Zachary Wolf | Analysis Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
On the Democratic side, Barack Obama won the Iowa caucuses in 2008 and went on to win the White House. And Trump, although he’s the favorite in pre-caucus polling this year, lost the Iowa caucuses in 2016 to Cruz. Weren’t there some problems with the Iowa caucuses? This is the first time since 1972 that the Iowa caucuses will not be the first event on Democrats’ presidential nomination calendar. President Joe Biden, who placed fourth in the 2020 Iowa caucuses, pushed Democrats to change up the calendar.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, surrogates, They’re, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Grassley, Chuck Grassley, Nikki Haley, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Doug Burgum, Asa Hutchinson, Read, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Mike Pence, there’s, George W, Bush, Barack Obama, Jimmy Carter, uncommitted, Republican Ronald Reagan, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Reagan, Gerald Ford, Sen, Bob Dole, Mitt Romney, Santorum, Romney, Pete Buttigieg, Joe Biden, George McGovern, McGovern, Richard Nixon Organizations: CNN, Iowa Republicans, Florida Gov, Republican, Former South Carolina Gov, Trump, GOP, New, New Jersey Gov, North Dakota Gov, Arkansas Gov, Evangelical, Republicans, Hawkeye State, White, Democratic, Republican Party, Iowa Democrats, Iowa Democratic Party, Iowa, Democratic Party, South, House Locations: CT, Iowa, Florida, , Iowa’s, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, George H.W ., Cruz, Weren’t, , New Hampshire, Rather, White, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Chicago
Ron DeSantis' campaign is announcing the completion of a longtime campaign pledge Saturday: touring all of Iowa's 99 counties, a milestone for a campaign that has devoted significant resources to the first-in-the-nation contest. On paper, DeSantis has made significant strides in running a traditionally successful Iowa campaign, racking up influential endorsements and dedicating significant time, personnel and financial resources to the state. And while the DeSantis campaign, with significant super PAC help, has stayed focused on Iowa, it remains unclear just what the traditional Iowa playbook counts for in this unusual modern campaign against Trump. "Winning an Iowa caucus requires a strong combination of outworking and out-organizing the competition and that's been the Ron DeSantis model. Inside the sprint to the caucusesStill, the DeSantis playbook in Iowa hardly stops at the "Full Grassley."
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Scott Olson, Sen, Chuck Grassley, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, haven't, Biden, Sparks, Newsom, Trump, Former Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Santorum, Michele Bachmann, Ryan Binkley, Red Oak, Iowa Sen, Joni Ernst, , Grassley, Andrew Romeo, that's, Kim Reynolds, Bob Vander Plaats, Reynolds, Vander, Iowans, Haley, Joe Biden, She's, Olivia Perez, David Hansen, Hansen, Tim Scott Organizations: Florida, Machine, Getty, Florida Gov, United Nations, Iowa, NBC, White, Trump, Presidential, Former Pennsylvania, Republican, NBC News, Des Moines Register, Prosperity, Waterloo Locations: Davenport , Iowa, Newton , Iowa, Florida, Arizona, Iowa, Former, Texas, Iowa's, Wright, Des Moines, Red, New Hampshire, Iowa , New Hampshire, South Carolina, Ron DeSantis ' Iowa, Midwest, Plainfield
Ron DeSantis, who is behind in Iowa, has received major endorsements in the state. Ron DeSantis has bet his political future on Iowa. The positive news came on the heels of Iowa Gov. ("Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley have partisans. No recent nominee has failed to win Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, or Nevada.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Kim Reynolds, Bob Vander Plaats, , Donald Trump's, DeSantis, Reynolds, Grassley, Trump, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Scott Olson, trashing Reynolds, Grant Wood, Ben Jacobs, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Barack Obama, Ron Brownstein, Cruz, Santorum, Huckabee, what's, Ricky Bobby, it's Organizations: Florida Gov, Iowa Gov, Trump, GOP, Service, Republican, CBS, Iowa State University, Iowa GOP, DeSantis, Getty, rockstar, Arkansas Gov, Iowa Republicans, Iowa, Hawkeye State Locations: Florida, Iowa, VFW, Texas, Pennsylvania, North Dakota, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, Hawkeye
Ellison has pumped $35 million into Scott's super PAC, and could legally give him millions more. On Monday, Ellison attended Scott's campaign launch in North Charleston, where Scott described him as one of his mentors. Trump's political operation includes the "MAGA, Inc" super PAC, while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has enjoyed the support of the "Never Back Down" super PAC. Scott's campaign isn't the first time a Republican presidential candidate has heavily relied on a single megadonor.
In a rare bright spot for democracy in the wake of the US Capitol insurrection, Walker – unlike Trump after 2020 – conceded his loss. But looking to the next election, there’s a brewing fight over which states should have the first say in the presidential primary process. The most core question raised this week is being put to Supreme Court justices. Removing a check from the systemThe leap from Trump’s call to end the Constitution to the independent state legislature theory isn’t that far. Under the map approved by the state Supreme Court and after last month’s midterm elections, the delegation will be an even 7-7 when the new Congress is seated in January.
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